Recruiting Intelligence

There’s a reason people look to Netflix as a case study in perseverance. After transforming the video rental landscape – from in-person stores to in-home DVD delivery, then to streaming and producing new video content – Netflix now leads a global shift in how content is created and consumed. Blockbuster was once its biggest rival. Today it’s YouTube. 

Netflix’s journey is marked with notable missteps and market hits. Headlines like “The Year Netflix Almost Died” capture the 2011 fallout when the company lost 800,000 customers and its stock value plummeted nearly 80 percent. Yet, here they are, stronger than ever and global. So, do you have a Netflix subscription? Yeah. Us, too. The company clearly knows how to recover.  

The lesson here: We can survive really rough times if we’re smart about our response to market volatility. Time to focus on the details and control the controllable. 

Opportunities to Meet the Intead Team  

• Look for us at NAFSA in May, APLU in June, NACUBO in July, and NACAC in September. Let us know  if you want to connect at these events.
• NEW WEBINAR: AI and the Future of Student Recruitment. All about university recruitment in this dynamic and changing AI environment. AICA's Emily Pacheco, Ashley Kern (MeetYourClass, Sightline), and Ben Waxman (Intead). Free Registration here. June 10, 2025 at 3pm Eastern time.

Bookmark this: Intead’s Resource Center 
Access 800+ articles, slides decks, reports with relevant content on any topic important to enrollment management and student recruiting.  Check it out.

US higher ed is at a pivotal moment as policy develops around the world and potential students consider how best to pursue their own interests.  How we respond now will affect our viability tomorrow and in the years ahead. The good news: history (and Netflix) shows us that recovery is possible. And there are lessons of resilience and recovery from within academia worth looking at as well. 

Take the UK. In 2008, the UK introduced a point-based immigration system and a Post-Study Work (PSW) visa allowing two years of work after graduation. Four years later, PSW was shuttered, causing an immediate decline in international student interest. A self-inflicted wound from Downing Street to the UK higher education system not unlike the international student disruptions being inflicted on US higher ed today. Interestingly, the number of main applicant-sponsored study visas issued only fell to 2008 levels and remained mostly stable until 2016, when numbers began to rise again.  

Even though overall visa numbers fell some universities took action that helped them outperform the sector and beat their own pre-2012 enrollment. Queen’s University Belfast was one with a comprehensive data-informed package of measures, including extensive faculty engagement, scholarship packages, enhanced agent involvement, and a focus on processes to improve the applicant journey. It was a whole institution approach matching strategic investment with operational excellence. They controlled the controllable.    

Then there’s Australia, which saw a steep international student decline a decade ago due to tightened visa scrutiny. Now, they are seeking to limit the number of international students studying in-country each year to 240,000. Canada, too, is currently working through its own hastily decreed cap on incoming international students, self-inflicted just last year.  

In fact, not once during this century have all four major anglophone recruiting countries (US, UK, Australia, Canada) had benevolent student and work visa policies simultaneously. There is almost always one or another imposing self-defeating rules upon themselves. Yet, 2025 brings us to a point where all four of these nations want to limit incoming international students – whether through direct intent or visa policy and rhetoric – rather than smoothing the international student path. It seems some policymakers have lost sight of the direct correlation between economic growth and academic strength (education and research capability). 

This current state is not the first period of stress and difficulty international students and institutions have faced. 

Despite bouts of turbulence, each receiving country continues to see an incoming flow of international students. In our view, it’s reasonable to assume international students will remain motivated to attain a foreign degree and a US degree will remain attractive to a large number of foreign students. So, we pursue what we can control and what can be changed (or challenged) and do so with a mindset that is measured not panicked.  

What does all that mean for your approach to internationalization? 

Read on…  

News of international student visa’s being revoked and stock market gyrations is all consuming. And rightly so. The White House seems hellbent on sowing chaos on as many levels as possible. In our world of higher ed enrollment and internationalization, international students are looking over their shoulders, unsure of what will happen next. Unfortunately, in the near term, unpredictability is the name of the game and every university administrator’s list of top priorities changes by the day (or the hour).

Harkening back to the stress levels our academic administrators and students experienced during the Covid-19 Pandemic. 

It’s enough to make you want to just turn it all off, hop a flight to Florida, and kick back under a beach umbrella on the sunny shores of the Gulf of America...right?!?  

Sad humor aside, we focus on providing global educational experiences, protecting students from harm, and playing exhausting defense to the chaotic shifts in policies as best we can. And, at the same, time we are playing offense for our institutions. How do we move forward? How do we fortify our international student programs even as our students feel shaken and ask legitimate questions about how and if they can continue to pursue a US education?

Opportunities to Meet the Intead Team  

• Look for us at NAFSA in May, NACUBO and APLU in June, and NACAC in September. Let us know  if you want to connect at these events.

Bookmark this: Intead’s Resource Center 
Access 800+ articles, slides decks, reports with relevant content on any topic important to enrollment management and student recruiting.  Check it out.

With all the shifting campus priorities and endless breaking news reports, we take our role seriously as a condenser of information and a producer of insights on all things enrollment management. If we are doing our job, we are consistently additive to your work. Many of you likely missed some of our posts this past quarter (we understand!). So today, we offer a summary of the news we shared in Q1 ’25 with links to the articles and resources.   

You’ll find perspective on:  

• 3 Things to do now, despite the enrollment chaos  
• AI tools admissions teams will love  
• How to spot and fix admissions pain points  
• AIRC & AIEA conference insights 
  
• How WPI students are ideating systems to address student mental health  

As an added bonus, at the end of the post, we offer a link to our uplifting April Fools Day post that caught more than a few people off guard. We all need a reminder of the fun life can offer now and again. This one is worth the click. A quick read for a lasting smile.

This quarterly wrap-up is a bit shorter than those in the past per our recent switch to posting every other week - our content optimization guided by our analysis of our reader data. Let us know if our new cadence is working for you.   

Read on…  

Think instant granular analysis of transcripts. Think about your ability to identify the specific classes and grades indicating future student success. Think about automatically excluding that A in Phys Ed from the overall GPA calculation.  

For the sake of speed and efficiency, institutions rely on the overall GPA, an SAT score (if submitted), or the presence of AP classes on a transcript. All helpful shortcuts as indicators of future success, to a point. And we’re not going to get into the SAT debate right now, though we have some strong opinions on that one. 

But now, along comes AI and admissions teams are apt to place some hope in the promise of what it can do to streamline unwieldy processes that tend to get in the way of enrollment yield. But there’s so much more edtech can now do. 

Opportunities to Meet the Intead Team  

• AIEA in March, ASU+GSV in April, and NAFSA in May. We'll be presenting our latest findings with colleagues from Chronicle of Higher Ed, IIE, AIEA, University of Tulsa, University of Memphis, Northeastern, and others. Let us know  if you want to connect at any of these events. 

Bookmark this: Intead’s Resource Center 
Access 800+ articles, slides decks, reports with relevant content on any topic important to enrollment management and student recruiting.  Check it out.

In our last post, we highlighted an edtech venture worth watching – especially if you’re among the AI curious. MyDocs is the brainchild of entrepreneur John Reese, whose name you may recognize from Parchment, the company that moved our industry from paper to digital transcripts (PDFs). That little startup originally founded by John grew up and just sold a year ago for more than $800M (all cash). Now, John is taking admissions capabilities a step further – moving institutions beyond digital transcripts into admissions data processing. And last year, he reached out to the Intead team for product launch support. 

MyDocs uses advanced OCR (optical character reader) and machine learning to evolve the tedious tasks of transcript analysis and processing. With application volumes rising thanks in part to the student efficiency tool Common App (don’t get us started), this new edtech helps smooth a specific task – and frequent bottleneck – in the admissions process. MyDocs' AI-powered platform scans and analyzes digital transcripts (PDFs, JPEGs, photos) to make them both human and machine-readable. 

That means the school of origin and every class, every grade, all become actionable data, instantly. Are you starting to see the possibilities? Oh, and if the transcript happens to be in another language, the tool translates to English. 

You can see why we were excited when John approached us and asked for our help with his entrepreneurial approach to transcript evaluation. The data analysis possibilities got the whole team here buzzing.  

For institutions, this kind of AI assist is more than welcome. One forward-thinking private New England institution we work with recently used this edtech tool to evaluate and process 11,000 applications in a single day. That’s just one anecdote, but the expediency is something to behold for anyone who’s ever managed admissions processes and credential evaluation. 24 hours vs. 1,500 hours (when done by humans). Something to think about. 

On the surface, technology like MyDocs seems like a game-change. Still, a challenge remains: institutions may find they are swimming in data without a clear strategy for leveraging it beyond this singular task of admissions efficiency: accept or reject?  

But, we have ideas. So many ideas. Read on… 

Shout out to Q4 for giving us all something to think about. Cue the Chinese expression: "Better to be a dog in times of tranquility than a human in times of chaos." (宁享平安犬生，莫为乱世中人). Yup, got it! Right now, we are those humans, perhaps wishing we were dogs. 

Between the US presidential election and IIE Open Doors data, many of us are recalibrating our approach to 2025. Fortunately, we’ve worked through anti-immigration policies and lackluster international student enrollment numbers before. We’ll weather this. But there is work ahead for all of us.  

So, if you’ve missed a few of our Recruiting Intelligence articles, we understand. This post will catch you right up. 

Opportunities to Meet the Intead Team  

• AIEA in March, ASU+GSV in April, and NAFSA in May. We'll be presenting our latest findings with colleagues from Chronicle of Higher Ed, IIE, AIEA, University of Tulsa, University of Memphis, Northeastern, and others. Let us know  if you want to connect at of those two events. 

Bookmark this: Intead’s Resource Center 
Access 800+ articles, slides decks, reports with relevant content on any topic important to enrollment management and student recruiting.  Check it out.

Relying on our experience working with a wide range of institutions, public and private, over the past 15 years (and the guidance from David’s book), we have helped admissions leaders identify the admissions pain points that drive students away rather than drawing them closer in. Importantly, this fascinating day-long exercise uncovers opportunities to fix the problems and the improvement measures to track results. Ah yes, some good news. 

Process mapping is a simple idea on the face of it. Like any problem-solving session addressing a complex, multi-layered process, the key to success is getting the right people in the right room to wrestle the right questions. We’re sure you know just what we mean. Practical to downright critical cross-departmental conversations are too few and far between.   

IT, Marketing, Enrollment, Admissions, and faculty (at the graduate level) all play a role. Credential evaluation always comes up as a pain point (more on that in just a bit). Yet, when institutions bring all stakeholders together for one full day to critically examine how their roles interconnect, the clarity is remarkable. We’ve seen even the most efficient teams benefit. And by the end, everyone has a new appreciation for sticky notes and our whiteboard is filled with sound ideas, big and small. 

The litmus test for us is always this: at the end of the day, does everyone see a clear, achievable path forward? From the clear immediate wins to the more time-intensive improvements, a shared vision for a more efficient process will result. That’s the point of process mapping. Read on…  

The buzz topic at NAFSA XI 2024: creative ways to engage students. The primary focus being study abroad during this 3-day event in Hartford, CT in October. The Intead team was there in force gathering intel and sharing our latest data-informed thinking. 

Small industry events like NAFSA’s regional conferences are such a great way to connect with peers to think through the nuts and bolts of what works and what doesn’t on issues we’re all facing. So many conversations on how to raise on-campus awareness of study abroad programs, including how to counter student “why bother” attitudes (all too common).   

Another buzz topic: faculty and cross-departmental collaboration. We are all still struggling to break down silos and build collaborative cultures on campus.   

Opportunities to Meet the Intead Team  
- PIE Live North America, Boston, MA, Nov. 19-20, 2024. Two informative sessions: Dissecting the latest IIE data and a deep dive into international student career outcome data with Babson College.
- AIRC, Seattle-Bellevue, Washington, Dec. 4-7 -- including our pre-conference global marketing workshop. A full day of Intead global intel (lunch included ; -). Details here. 

Bookmark this: Intead’s Resource Center 
Access 800+ articles, slides decks, reports with relevant content on any topic important to enrollment management and student recruiting.  Check it out.

A consistent drumbeat throughout the NAFSA Region XI conference was something we as marketers intuitively know all too well: authenticity is huge among this generation. Basic example of how this plays out: polished marketing videos vs. iPhone produced TikTok vibes.  

Obvious across-the-board guidance whether you’re working on recruitment or retention, undergrad or grad. Since so many NAFSA Regional conference attendees are in student services roles, the discussions were largely around how authenticity boosts study abroad numbers. It works – when implemented. 

Simple as it seems, meaningful communication gets lost in the name of strategic marketing all the time. Institutions are so busy finding best-fit students and telling them things, it’s easy to forget to meet them where they are by listening to them before you start telling them things. 

Consider your students who’ve never thought of study abroad as a viable option for their own academic journeys. Is your student union flyer even registering with them? Are your Instagram Reels connecting?   

The real-world examples of success discussed at the conference addressed students’ need for explicit communication that shows them why and how study abroad is actually an option for them. They need their professors, alumni, and fellow classmates to talk about the benefits of studying abroad. They need details on cost upfront, including scholarships or grants available. They need to hear about the more affordable study abroad programs. They need to connect your study abroad programs to their personal investment in their own futures – the future they are working toward on campus right now. They need to know they won't lose out on all the social events on campus because they will be engaging in new and exciting social events abroad.

New ideas? No. Achievable in a better way? Yes.

So much easier to see (and prioritize) the path forward after a few days with like-minded peers. (Thank you, NAFSA!).

Other topics we had a lot of fun discussing include value mapping for improved admissions processes and how to identify useful data to support your recruitment efforts. Action-oriented conversations led by outstanding presenters. Big thanks to Corey Blackmar of Emerson College, Steven Boyd of Quinnipiac University, and Khald Aboalayon of Clark University for sharing the stage with us. 

One final shout out. This one’s for our number one Director of Marketing Analytics Iliana Joaquin. She is the new NAFSA XI IEM Knowledge Center Regional Rep. We are thrilled to let NAFSA borrow her amazing skills in 2025. Congrats Iliana!  

Below we bring a bit of the conference to you. Read on to download our presentation decks with practical tips and insights:  

• Creating a Campus Culture for Study Abroad 
• Admission Process Analysis: Value Mapping and Improvement 
• Wait, So How Did You Get This Data? 

Does the rise of AI change the value of predictive analytics?    

In 2020 we were all looking for a little predictability and sustainability. In life as well as enrollment. And while the pandemic may be in our rearview mirror, uncertainty remains an unflappable friend. We’re looking at you, enrollment cliff and public opinion polls about the value of higher education.

So, we thought now is a great time to revisit one of our most popular downloads because it’s all about predictability.

We published The End of False Promises: A Guide to Real Predictive Analytics ebook during the height of the pandemic as a tool to help our colleagues understand the role Big Data and Artificial Intelligence can play in enrollment strategies. After all, we know you’re increasingly looking for data to help deliver reliable, cost-effective, and transformational results for your institution. And we’re here to make sure you get what you think you’re paying for.

If you want to chat about how you are building your Fall 2024 strategy or the tactical execution approaches we have found most valuable, Ben and Iliana will be at the NACAC conference presenting alongside our colleagues from AIRC and Middle Tennessee State University on Sept. 22 in Baltimore. Can we schedule a time to chat? Send us an email and coffee's on us! 

About our predictive analytics guide, you will:

• Decode predictive analytics
• Access case studies of predictive analytics in action
• Learn how to dodge prediction pitfalls
• Get your hands on a vendor vetting checklist
• And much more

The full guide is available on demand for Intead Plus members, while, you, our blog subscribers, can download a useful 3-page summary for free. Read on for access and a quick primer on what predictive analytics is and is not…

It is wonderful to see a number of institutions touting strong, even incredible, increases in applications for their fall 2021 enrollment. And then the crowing over the record number of students actually enrolling. These successes are fabulous, for sure.

Yet, NCES data just released, with about 50% of all institutions reporting, shows the broader, less rosy picture. Most institutions saw average enrollment declines of around 3% (or worse) in various student segments.

Those few who are cheering, and the larger number of enrollment managers furrowing their brows, are evaluating all of this in the context of what happened in fall 2020 when so many institutions saw frightening and dramatic declines. Bigger than the enrollment blips that 2020 and 2021 represent is, of course, the enrollment cliff predicted for 2025/2026. How are institutions preparing for the challenges ahead?

We’ve seen an increasing number of institutions re-evaluating the game plan and getting very concerned about whether or not they appeal to Gen Z. It is a valid question. An important question. And here’s the thing: marketing agencies everywhere are making the most of that question in ways that can be highly misleading – the level of exaggeration coming from the marketing world prompts a bit of an eyeroll.

Sure, the decision-making process has differences today, but honestly, it is more the same than it is different. Not saying institutions seeking to attract and enroll students don’t need to adjust. They do.

Note: We recently presented an AIRC-hosted webinar alongside Technion Israel Institute of Technology talking about digital marketing and Gen Z that is now available to subscribers to our Intead Plus library.

Read on for insights on two important avenues for getting Gen Z to think more seriously about your institution. And join us at the AIRC conference in Miami in December 2021, where there will be plenty of talk on this topic.

A key idea: re-evaluate the hoops you make applicants jump through.

We’ve been presenting at the AIRC conference for eleven years now, and while the gathering looks very different this year, the value of connection and the wealth of ideas shared was a comforting constant from years past in Miami. Although we did miss the poolside networking on a warm December evening.

This year, members of the Intead team were honored to present two sessions together with our amazing colleagues from universities and other experts in the field focused on the AIRC 2020 Vision of “Charting the Waters.”

At Intead, charting the waters of this year has meant gathering and analyzing data, developing targeted, clear (and comforting) communications during this difficult time, and strategizing around new markets and tools to help institutions move their enrollment goals forward.

This absolutely gut-wrenching year, we started addressing the radical changes to student enrollment and student success on February 19 with a blog about adjusting the approach to recruiting international students from China. Days later, we convened enrollment management and study abroad experts for two powerful webinars addressing global ramifications (here and here). This year, our team has published, non-stop, with enrollment management guidance in toolkits, case studies, and eBooks (in addition to this weekly blog).

Read on for a collection of our highest value tips and to download our AIRC presentation slides. You'll find that oh-so-happy link at the bottom of today's post. (Making you work for it ; -)

As we engage with our colleagues at the AIRC virtual conference this week and next, the discussions have us thinking, planning, and doing.

The financial challenges are quite real and the losses in the world of academia will continue to pile up in the near term. Survival and growth are possible, and your team knows that. Your leadership is engaged in some exceedingly difficult decision making right now.

Here are the financial realities: While deep and troubling, many institutions have been here before and frankly, this kind of pain is not all that new. Pandemic or no, institutions were heading for a financial crisis. Current circumstances have sped up the process. Those that have survived these challenges in the past stop cutting at some point and invest in growth.

We all want those investments in growth to be the right ones, but how do we know? Let’s look to our industry experts from our fellow AIRC members working in the trenches, to Moody’s Global Services, and the Chronicle of Higher Ed and make some sense of this. Concrete advice follows. Read on. 

According to Moody’s reports on the financial pain 4-year institutions are facing, higher ed administrators are managing a host of escalating challenges.

What we know: cutting your way to success has never worked for any institution.

What we want: strategic, incremental investments that pay off.

But which ones will lead to predictable enrollment growth and revenue? Oh, and student success?

There is a guiding light, a process to achieving this kind of success.

With technology playing an increasingly critical role in every aspect of our lives, especially now, academic institutions have recognized the need to accelerate the adoption and development of digitally oriented enrollment processes and education delivery. These moves can reverse enrollment declines and support the quality of education that students and families expect. What we look toward: a smart, agile, and modular approach.

Framed as a modern and flexible model, incremental investments in technology for marketing and student success can align university leadership, administrators and importantly, faculty. CFOs take note, this is a plan for predictable enrollment and revenue streams.

The team delivering on this approach brings deep skills in marketing, enrollment management, and technology to support academic institutions through transformative initiatives carried out incrementally.

The goal is to produce an enrollment management transformation and a re-imagined approach to student success. Affordable marketing and AI-powered technology investments, each with clear transactional wins (think ROI) that justify the process, move the institution through a series of system improvements and enhancements toward the envisioned state. 

We’ve been here before, and we know that transformation is tough at large institutions. Bold and expensive strokes often fail to build the necessary stakeholder buy-in. The result: limited successes, far less than envisioned. 

Incrementalism recognizes that there are common modules every institution will want to address (recruitment, enrollment management, alumni relations, student and career services, etc.). Each institution is different in how and when each valued area blends into the transformation effort.

Read on to view our latest webinar in which I am joined by a panel of excellent guest speakers from Dartmouth, Babson, Northeastern, and Google to discuss how this new approach can pave the way to predictable, affordable, and transformative enrollment results.